MeekoDev's Insane World

Life in the slow lane

Mubarak’s Speech and why it was a mistake

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I am listening to the end of Egyptian President Mubarak’s speech and the crowd reaction after as I write this.  My ideas are flowing and there is no reason to wait to write while they are in my mind.

Several years ago I put my Political Science degree on a bookshelf. My interest in American politics is burned out. There is only so much one can care about the Electoral College and the official way congressional districts are drawn. Still, there are some political things that still draw me in.

My courses in international relations and the different theories are still very helpful. One of those lessons was on international political protests.

I have always been interested in mass protest movements. If a country’s people feel the need to risk their lives, I pay even more attention. This is what peeked my interest in Egypt. This afternoon my Twitter stream is filled with Egyptians who are in or around Tahrir Square. (Is it scary that I can now spell Tahrir without thinking twice?).

The President of Egypt delayed airing his announced speech. This gave the people time and reason to mobilize. By the time the speech aired, you couldn’t see the bodies of the protesters. All you could see are bobbing heads. It was as packed as Wembley Stadium at a star-filled concert event.

Tahrir Square Twenty Minutes after Presidents speech

Tahrir Square twenty minutes after President Mubarak's speech

How dumb can a politician be? You do not give people time to mobilize before saying you refuse to give in to their demands. This is asking for large demonstrations and riots.

Simply saying you are delegating your authority to your vice-president while you stay in office is not an orderly transition.

Prior to the speech, the military has stated they will safeguard the people. Some international political analysts are wondering out loud which side they will take.

Forty minutes after the speech, the square is emptying. The people are preparing for tomorrow. There was already a large protest planned. I really fear now whiile we wait for the new constitutional amendments and Army orders from Mubarak. We shall see.

Related links:

Al Jazeera English: Live Stream

Christiversity’s wonderful list of Egypt related Twitters

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Written by MeekoDev

February 10, 2011 at 5:02 pm

Posted in Egypt, Politics, Twitter

Tagged with , ,

One Response

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  1. Dear Egypt,

    Greetings.

    Here is why I think waiting for 6 months may not be such a bad idea:

    First of all let me say that our hearts go out to you as we read about you in our newspapers and watch you on our screens. The meaning of the sounds your voices, though articulated in a different language, comes across loud and clear–you have had enough, you have had more than enough of your share of injustice, oppression, and inequity…and after decades of dictatorship, the time has come for change.

    We understand your struggle for a better life. We understand how you, your family and your friends have been mistreated–your basic human rights trampled on. But while you experience the emotional high of this moment of “people power,” and anticipate the approaching conclusion of this conflict with your government, I hope that you remember what is at stake here, and realize what the cost of this turmoil will be to your society as it moves forward.

    Remember that the goal of your jihad is more than just an ouster of a dictator and his corrupt regime. This is not the end-point of your struggle. Remember that ultimately, the prize for your labor is a higher quality of existence, through a better system of government, measured by the presence of peace and happiness.

    Achieving this goal, as you already realize, will not come without cost–and you have already begun to pay for it. What is the price tag for an immediate transition of power? The answer in one word: Instability. Think of these questions as you forge your future in the fires of this unrest. Can you afford the months, maybe years, of uncertainty in the governments ability to deliver even the most basic of services to your homes? Can you afford the insecurity of your cities, towns and borders? Can you afford living with an unsteady and fluctuating income? As you toss out Hosni Mubarak from political power, you need to be careful that the basic services of government do not get thrown out as well.

    Furthermore, as you consider the fundamental aims of your revolution and the obstacles you will have to overcome on your journey towards your idea of eusociality, have you had a chance to inspect the possible candidates for replacing Hosni Mubarak? We know that anyone connected with the current regime is tainted with the past, so will the new president truly represent the ideals you are fighting for? Or will this person and their administration turn out to be a disappointment for your movement?

    Egypt, I recognize the legitimacy of your struggle, concomitant with that, I want to urge you to be cognizant of what it is that you really want to see happen in your country, and the path you are willing to take to get there. Consider especially, extending the transition period for change. This will allow some time for the formation of a new and improved government system without the power-vacuum induced instability that an immediate exit will cause. Waiting for Mubarak to finish his term in six months this September does not seem like a bad idea when you consider the larger picture of the history of your civilization.

    As you dictate your demands to your dictator today, and as you hear the cheers of encouragement from your neighbors around the world harmonizing with your own voice of discontent and dissent, I hope you realize how vital it is for the stability of your future that reason and patience prevail over passion and a sense of immediacy. It would be a real shame to see in the news six months from now of a nation in dire straits, its premature democracy floundering, and its society in critical need for some sort of external intervention by a more developed, more powerful, foreign-based democracy.

    Best wishes.

    Elwood

    February 10, 2011 at 9:42 pm


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